Description

This analysis provides a forecast of INJ prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-04-27 6.758370 7.819405 8.954994 10.256574 11.702810 13.256151 15.046255
2025-05-04 5.605013 7.123229 8.865014 10.993345 13.505186 16.356479 19.818006
2025-05-11 4.487706 6.238316 8.381670 11.156857 14.609888 18.718599 23.926848
2025-05-18 3.499635 5.317894 7.689570 10.932802 15.168455 20.424924 27.344240
2025-05-25 2.763337 4.580909 7.099963 10.724225 15.669678 22.039728 30.703828
2025-06-01 2.253096 4.057994 6.705385 10.694206 16.352988 23.881448 34.411430
2025-06-08 1.836915 3.592951 6.315217 10.600859 16.904683 25.542687 37.932224
2025-06-15 1.644361 3.446164 6.369370 11.136435 18.351090 28.466252 43.256564
2025-06-22 1.386583 3.137544 6.122970 11.178399 19.061942 30.380261 47.259444
2025-06-29 1.100078 2.716801 5.630914 10.772944 19.053103 31.242635 49.799428
2025-07-06 0.862534 2.335521 5.146994 10.317369 18.910721 31.872961 51.999967
2025-07-13 0.787478 2.273143 5.221743 10.796177 20.255741 34.751855 57.548549
2025-07-20 0.757370 2.309576 5.493695 11.653476 22.286791 38.793069 65.019814
2025-07-27 0.703159 2.280099 5.635034 12.289663 23.990624 42.405791 71.986922
2025-08-03 0.600820 2.110624 5.476258 12.365689 24.759843 44.599115 76.896249
2025-08-10 0.483491 1.869907 5.134883 12.065026 24.860080 45.733725 80.223137
2025-08-17 0.389936 1.664259 4.834664 11.807046 25.005672 46.930434 83.667864
2025-08-24 0.325291 1.521943 4.651759 11.756051 25.502770 48.699671 88.041504
2025-08-31 0.267823 1.381770 4.450689 11.644860 25.875832 50.268281 92.134796
2025-09-07 0.250817 1.375235 4.572816 12.215027 27.531493 54.027464 99.823720
2025-09-14 0.212718 1.278078 4.452757 12.256516 28.194010 56.129348 104.895845
2025-09-21 0.163369 1.113577 4.128476 11.818399 27.911462 56.600030 107.320557
2025-09-28 0.122259 0.958832 3.798311 11.327044 27.484934 56.790416 109.271957